Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
Markets
Van Orden, 5+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $335.8 · Liquidity $305.5
Van Orden, 8+ pts
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $222 · Liquidity $217
Van Orden, 1+ pts
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
Van Orden, 2+ pts
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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