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Wisconsin's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Fitzgerald, 30+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $61

  • Fitzgerald, 12+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Fitzgerald, 15+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Fitzgerald, 18+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Fitzgerald, 9+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fitzgerald, 21+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fitzgerald, 24+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fitzgerald, 27+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fitzgerald, 33+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 5th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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