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What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Markets

  • Above 4.5 million

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $135.1K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Above 4.2 million

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $56.2K · Liquidity $11.6K

  • Above 4.4 million

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $51.8K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Above 4.1 million

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $43.3K · Liquidity $8.9K

  • Above 4.3 million

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $24.2K · Liquidity $5.1K

Resolution rules

If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.1 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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