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Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

Markets

  • AfD

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $506.7

  • SPD

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $686.4

  • BSW

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $441.6

  • Die Linke

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $808.7

  • CDU

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $666

  • Greens

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $590.7

  • FDP

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $129.2 · Liquidity $129.2

Resolution rules

If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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