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Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

Markets

  • At least 4%

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $65.2 · Liquidity $65.2

  • At least 2%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 4.5%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 5%

    • Yes38%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 6%

    • Yes25%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 10%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 12%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 14%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 2% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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