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Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?

Markets

  • Rafael Grossi

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $34.6K · Liquidity $12.7K

  • Rebeca Grynspan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $32.8K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $14.9K · Liquidity $10K

  • Michelle Bachelet

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $5.2K

  • Lana Nusseibeh

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $8.2K

  • Nickolay Mladenov

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • Amina J. Mohammed

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4K

  • Mia Mottley

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Sigrid Kaag

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Alicia Bárcena

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $967.1 · Liquidity $461

  • Ivonne A-Baki

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $801.9 · Liquidity $797.9

  • Gianni Infantino

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $463.8 · Liquidity $411.8

  • Olara Otunnu

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $239.4 · Liquidity $119.7

  • Macky Sall

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $45.3 · Liquidity $28.2

Resolution rules

If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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