Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
Markets
Nationals
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $2.2K
Greens
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.5K
Victorian Socialists
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2.6K
One Nation
- Yes59%
- No41%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.8K
Liberal
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $370
Labor
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $203 · Liquidity $203
Resolution rules
If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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