Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Markets
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $97.1K · Liquidity $28.8K
Resolution rules
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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