Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Markets
Z AI
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $5 · Liquidity $5
MiniMax
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $2 · Liquidity $2
OpenAI
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
LG AI Research
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Google
- Yes79%
- No22%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Meta
- Yes62%
- No39%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
xAI
- Yes41%
- No60%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Alibaba
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
DeepSeek
- Yes46%
- No55%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Moonshot
- Yes46%
- No55%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Xiaomi
- Yes61%
- No40%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
StepFun
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Mistral
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
NVIDIA
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Amazon
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Baidu
- Yes61%
- No40%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
ByteDance
- Yes26%
- No75%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Thinking Machines
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
China Mobile
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Institute of Foundation Models
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Upstage
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tencent
- Yes56%
- No45%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
InclusionAI
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
LongCat
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Cohere
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Inception
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Arcee AI
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Microsoft
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Safe Superintelligence
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Reflection AI
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Essential AI
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Prime Intellect
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Huawei
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If OpenAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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