Next pandemic
Markets
Before 2028
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $4.2K
Before 2029
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3.2K
Before 2030
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.9K
Resolution rules
If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030: 44%
24h vol $64 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Google: 76%
24h vol $28.9 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
United States: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Z AI: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
No: 80%
24h vol $61.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $28.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
Before 2030: 67%
24h vol $19.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 23%
24h vol $97K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
Before 2029: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States: 57%
24h vol $169.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2031

