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California's 13th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gray, 21+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $433 · Liquidity $433

  • Gray, 15+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $200

  • Gray, 12+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Gray, 18+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Gray, 3+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gray, 6+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gray, 9+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gray, 24+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gray, 27+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 13th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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