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Florida's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Rogers, 13+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $179

  • Rogers, 1+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $398.6

  • Rogers, 10+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $329

  • Rogers, 4+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Rogers, 16+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $198.9

  • Rogers, 19+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $271

  • Rogers, 7+ pts

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $484 · Liquidity $270

  • Rogers, 22+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $129.8 · Liquidity $129.8

  • Rogers, 25+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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