Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
Markets
Nunn, 10+ pts
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $141
Nunn, 1+ pts
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K
Nunn, 4+ pts
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $240 · Liquidity $200
Nunn, 7+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $158.9 · Liquidity $158.9
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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