Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 60K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Virginia 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?
Yes: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Which party will win the next UK general election?
Labour party: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 31, 2029
Ohio 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 3rd District margin of victory
Suozzi, 2+ pts: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 5th District margin of victory
Meeks, 41+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?
Yes: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
At least 10: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 15, 2026
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 1, 2028
Connecticut 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
New York's 10th District margin of victory
Lander, 57+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 13th District margin of victory
Chevalier, 58+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 32 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 33 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 129K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Texas's 18th District margin of victory
Menefee, 49+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Next Kathmandu mayoral election winner?
RSP: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2028
New York's 14th District margin of victory
Ocasio-Cortez, 34+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 17th District margin of victory
Lawler, 3+ pts: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
New York's 18th District margin of victory
Ryan, 7+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 19th District margin of victory
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Delaware governor winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Florida 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 34 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 70K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas's 22nd District margin of victory
Nehls, 3+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 24th District margin of victory
Tenney, 9+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 25th District margin of victory
Morelle, 19+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
Republican: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 12, 2028
Pennsylvania 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027