Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
New York's 3rd District margin of victory
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 44 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 113K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 35 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 134K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 34 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 29 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 87K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 1st District margin of victory
Gallant, 3+ pts: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 98K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 158K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 145K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 142K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 137K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 128K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 143K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.34M: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.28M: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory
Fernández, 6+ pts: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
West Virginia Senate margin of victory
Capito, 28+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Miller, 24+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
Tiffany, 1+ pts: 15%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory
Wied, 3+ pts: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wisconsin's 7th District margin of victory
Alfonso, 2+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington's 1st District margin of victory
DelBene, 26+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina's 13th District margin of victory
Knott, 3+ pts: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
Perriello, 3+ pts: 21%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Utah's 4th District margin of victory
Kennedy, 13+ pts: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina's 12th District margin of victory
Adams, 41+ pts: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
Balkcom, 2+ pts: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas's 16th District margin of victory
Escobar, 21+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri's 7th District margin of victory
Republicans, 25+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
Emmer, 4+ pts: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory
Mackenzie, 3+ pts: 19%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory
Brooks, 1+ pts: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 6th District margin of victory
Houlahan, 8+ pts: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 5th District margin of victory
Scanlon, 23+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot-Acton by-election winner?
Bloc: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2028
Oklahoma's 5th District margin of victory
Bice, 2+ pts: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma's 4th District margin of victory
Cole, 17+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027