Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Franklin County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 64%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wayne County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 62%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 78%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 50%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent
At least 50%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 56%: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois's 13th District margin of victory
Budzinski, 9+ pts: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Johnson County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 68%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
At least 58%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois's 14th District margin of victory
Underwood, 5+ pts: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent
At least 50%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana's 7th District margin of victory
Carson, 34+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
Strong, 13+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 80%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Montgomery County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 64%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Queens County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 56%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 78%: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kings County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 66%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Miami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
At least 42%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 58%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pima County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
At least 58%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
At least 60%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Taiwan presidential election winner?
William Lai: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 30, 2029
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?
Jimmy Blacklock: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
Brett Busby: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois's 9th District margin of victory
Biss, 34+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 13th District margin of victory
Gray, 3+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
Yes: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Vermont Governor margin of victory
Republicans, 2+ pts: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Vermont Governor margin of victory
Janoo, 2+ pts: 14%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 15th District margin of victory
Mullin, 45+ pts: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina's 9th District margin of victory
Ojeda, 1+ pts: 24%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Smith, 1+ pts: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Democrats, 26+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Governor margin of victory
Republicans, 1+ pts: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Governor margin of victory
Democrats, 2+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland's 1st District margin of victory
Schwartz, 2+ pts: 14%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana's 6th District margin of victory
Republicans, 16+ pts: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana's 3rd District margin of victory
Republicans, 19+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida's 25th District margin of victory
Singer, 1+ pts: 11%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
Askar, 2+ pts: 25%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
Beltran, 2+ pts: 19%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory
Republicans, 9+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027