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Michigan Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Democrats, 11+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Democrats, 14+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Democrats, 20+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $405 · Liquidity $200

  • Democrats, 8+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $272.6 · Liquidity $253.2

  • Democrats, 17+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $189.8 · Liquidity $189.8

  • Democrats, 2+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $3

  • Democrats, 5+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No25%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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