Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
California's 40th District margin of victory
Ken Calvert, 1+ pts: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 29th District margin of victory
Angélica María Dueñas, 5+ pts: 3%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 11th District margin of victory
Scott Wiener, 1+ pts: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 4th District margin of victory
Eric Jones, 5+ pts: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Jones, 1+ pts: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
Palmer, 18+ pts: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 22nd District margin of victory
Valadao, 2+ pts: 5%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Eric Rosen be retained on the Kansas Supreme Court?
Yes: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky's 1st District margin of victory
Comer, 28+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky's 3rd District margin of victory
McGarvey, 17+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland's 2nd District margin of victory
Olszewski, 14+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
Sewell, 12+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
Crawford, 27+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Hill, 1+ pts: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory
Womack, 10+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory
Westerman, 24+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
Sanders, 4+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
Shah, 1+ pts: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory
Nez, 2+ pts: 19%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
Greg Shaw: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory
Ansari, 57+ pts: 100%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
Stanton, 4+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Mendoza, 1+ pts: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Michigan vote to ban utility and contractor campaign contributions?
Yes: 59%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Ciscomani, 2+ pts: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Louisiana?
Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Arizona's 7th District margin of victory
Grijalva, 22+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?
Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Georgia?
9-1-1 Fund Amendment: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
California's 3rd District margin of victory
Bera, 5+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 5th District margin of victory
McClintock, 3+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?
Citizens Only Voting Amendment: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
California's 8th District margin of victory
Garamendi, 33+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 16th District margin of victory
Liccardo, 45+ pts: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 17th District margin of victory
Khanna, 39+ pts: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 18th District margin of victory
Lofgren, 30+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 19th District margin of victory
Panetta, 34+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)
Republican: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 1, 2028
Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 56%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 22nd District margin of victory
Villegas, 1+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 26th District margin of victory
Irwin, 12+ pts: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 30th District margin of victory
Friedman, 35+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Upper Austria state election winner?
FPÖ: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 25, 2028
California's 31st District margin of victory
Cisneros, 15+ pts: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 32nd District margin of victory
Sherman, 25+ pts: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 35th District margin of victory
Torres, 11+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 25, 2027
California's 36th District margin of victory
Lieu, 36+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027