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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $29.4M · Liquidity $9.4M

  • Before September

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $1.7M

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $1.4M

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1M · Liquidity $564.6K

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $820K · Liquidity $349K

  • Before October

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $488.9K · Liquidity $444.1K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $478.3K · Liquidity $332.8K

Resolution rules

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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