NASA lands on the moon?
Markets
Before 2027
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $288K · Liquidity $83.3K
Before 2028
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $223K · Liquidity $66.2K
Before 2029
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $36.2K · Liquidity $18.1K
Before 2030
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $3.2K
Resolution rules
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
Next pandemic
Before 2030: 22%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Google: 29%
24h vol $13.6 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
United States: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Z AI: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
No: 80%
24h vol $61.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
Before 2030: 67%
24h vol $19.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes: 60%
24h vol $4.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 23%
24h vol $97K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
Before 2029: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States: 57%
24h vol $203 · Ends Jan 1, 2031

