Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Nebraska corn yield in 2026
Above 170 bu/acre: 98%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Wingstop total restaurants in Q3
Above 3280: 95%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Mar 5, 2027
Paper price index in November 2026
Above 275: 94%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Dec 15, 2026
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3
Above $22 billion: 95%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Feb 25, 2027
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
Above 790 million: 94%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026
Above 350 thousand: 97%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Apr 27, 2027
Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?
Yes: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Feb 26, 2027
Roblox hours engaged in Q3
Above 32 billion: 96%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Feb 27, 2027
Will Boise Airport set a new passenger record in 2026?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Feb 19, 2027
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3
Above 4250: 85%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Feb 19, 2027
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
No: 68%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
Above 30,000: 68%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3
Above 15.5 billion: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Feb 25, 2027
Spotify headcount in 2026
Above 7100: 86%
24h vol $1K · Ends Mar 31, 2028
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 83%
24h vol $961 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
New Hampshire maple syrup production in 2027
Above 130,000 gallons: 87%
24h vol $895 · Ends Jun 30, 2027
US gasoline inventories at the end of November
Below 210 million barrels: 98%
24h vol $866 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
Above 9.00 Tcf: 97%
24h vol $840 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
Yes: 83%
24h vol $748.5 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
SoFi members in Q3
Above 16.7 million: 91%
24h vol $743.5 · Ends Feb 27, 2027
SoFi members in fiscal 2026
Above 17.8 million: 96%
24h vol $741 · Ends Apr 29, 2027
Alabama vehicle production in 2026
Above 1.10 million vehicles: 92%
24h vol $736.1 · Ends Jul 30, 2027
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026
Above 110: 95%
24h vol $703.4 · Ends Apr 26, 2027
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027
Above 225000: 98%
24h vol $632.9 · Ends Jul 31, 2027
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 36%
24h vol $622 · Ends Dec 1, 2027
CAVA total restaurants in Q3
Above 478: 99%
24h vol $595.5 · Ends Mar 10, 2027
Meta headcount in 2026
Above 65000: 99%
24h vol $517.7 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
No: 53%
24h vol $499.5 · Ends Jan 31, 2028
Will Utah record more than 6 million skier visits in the 2026–27 season?
No: 53%
24h vol $456 · Ends Jul 31, 2027
Toronto condo price below C$600K in 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $449.1 · Ends Feb 4, 2027
2027 Toyota Sienna starting MSRP
Above $41,000: 80%
24h vol $422.4 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 25%
24h vol $412.1 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 119 thousand: 99%
24h vol $409.4 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
US government budget balance in 2026
Above -9.0% of GDP: 92%
24h vol $405.3 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3
Above 86 million: 98%
24h vol $400 · Ends Jul 29, 2027
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
Above 400,000: 80%
24h vol $400 · Ends Apr 8, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Anthropic: 91%
24h vol $396 · Ends Jan 1, 2040
Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $374 · Ends Mar 12, 2027
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
Above 125 bu/acre: 99%
24h vol $365.8 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026
Above $210: 98%
24h vol $334.9 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 77%
24h vol $324.9 · Ends Oct 27, 2027
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3
Above -1%: 91%
24h vol $308.1 · Ends Feb 19, 2027
Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026
Above 15 million: 92%
24h vol $303.5 · Ends May 16, 2027
Robinhood funded customers in Q3
Above 28.5 million: 99%
24h vol $302.8 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1
Above $13.25 billion: 97%
24h vol $300 · Ends Mar 5, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026
Above 1.5 million: 99%
24h vol $280.1 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
Above 780 thousand: 96%
24h vol $276.6 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Government spending increase in 2026
At least $1 billion: 95%
24h vol $207.9 · Ends Apr 1, 2027