Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 93%
24h vol $233.2K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Texas crude oil production in 2026
Above 5.6 million barrels/day: 99%
24h vol $81.2K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3
Above 25 thousand: 97%
24h vol $41.6K · Ends Feb 17, 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
Above 0.0%: 98%
24h vol $30.9K · Ends Feb 1, 2028
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
Above 80,000 jobs: 97%
24h vol $30.2K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
3.5% or above: 99%
24h vol $22.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2027
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
3.5% or above: 99%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Lemonade total customers in Q3
Above 3.44 million: 99%
24h vol $17K · Ends Mar 10, 2027
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
Above 200000: 99%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends Feb 25, 2027
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Before 2028: 73%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
American Express cards-in-force in Q3
Above 154.5 million: 97%
24h vol $13.2K · Ends Feb 13, 2027
Nevada visitor volume in 2026
Above 47 million: 97%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
Above 560: 97%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends Mar 31, 2028
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
Above $3,800: 96%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
Above 545,000 jobs: 97%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
US crude oil exports in November
Above 4.0 million barrels/day: 99%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends Jan 29, 2027
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
Above 8.4 million TEUs: 96%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Wyoming total coal production in 2026
Above 180 MMst: 97%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 60%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Recession in 2027?
No: 80%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jan 31, 2028
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
Above 235,000 jobs: 98%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2029: 98%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026
Above 225 million: 92%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Mar 31, 2028
American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
Above 80.5%: 76%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Apr 27, 2027
US refinery utilization in November
Above 88%: 86%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Jan 29, 2027
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
Above $200,000: 98%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Exactly 2: 68%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
Above 32.75 billion pounds: 96%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Arkansas broiler production in 2026
Above 7.6 billion pounds: 95%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
Above 28.0¢/kWh: 96%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3
Above 3.5%: 99%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Feb 24, 2027
Visitors to Florida in 2026
Above 136 million: 98%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Feb 26, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Above 1.75%: 99%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026
Above 190,000 meat pounds: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Maine lobster landings in 2026
Above 55 million pounds: 95%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
Above 178 million: 99%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
Hike 25bps: 53%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Mar 17, 2027
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
Above 2.2 million TEUs: 93%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Recession this year?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 29, 2027
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026
Above 880 thousand: 86%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends May 12, 2027
West Virginia total coal production in 2026
Above 72 million short tons: 98%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
Above 600,000 bales: 92%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Jan 31, 2028
Vermont total milk production in 2026
Above 2.40 billion pounds: 97%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 81%
24h vol $2K · Ends Jan 1, 2031
Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
No: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Apr 30, 2027
How high will inflation get this year?
At least 4.5%: 23%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Feb 14, 2027