World Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on world events, weather, climate and health.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
Above 1034 Ft: 68%
24h vol $100 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 14%
24h vol $86.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 75%
24h vol $40.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 56%
24h vol $36.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 29, 2026: 98%
24h vol $36.6 · Ends Nov 29, 2026
Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $29.9 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?
Above 4 inches: 97%
24h vol $25.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
24h vol $22 · Ends Jun 29, 2027
When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 8, 2026: 98%
24h vol $18 · Ends Nov 28, 2026
When will Park City Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 20, 2026: 98%
24h vol $15.7 · Ends Dec 20, 2026
How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
Above 6: 47%
24h vol $11.3 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026?
Above 2 inches: 55%
24h vol $10.8 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
At least 2.0°C: 87%
24h vol $10.3 · Ends Apr 5, 2027
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $9.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Hurricane Rachel category?
Category 1 or above: 99%
24h vol $3.2 · Ends Dec 2, 2026
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes: 70%
24h vol $2.4 · Ends Dec 31, 2031
Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026?
Above 1 inch: 88%
24h vol $2 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Snow in Washington DC in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 29%
24h vol $2 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Stowe Mountain Resort snowfall total by December 24th
Above 45 inches: 66%
24h vol $2 · Ends Dec 24, 2026
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026?
Above 4 inches: 51%
24h vol $1.8 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $1.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Rain in Austin in Nov 2026?
Above 1 inch: 70%
24h vol $1.4 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will Trump make IVF free?
No: 91%
24h vol $1.1 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
When will Alyeska open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 13, 2026: 96%
24h vol $1 · Ends Dec 19, 2026
When will Northstar California Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 27, 2026: 98%
24h vol $1 · Ends Dec 27, 2026
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
No: 73%
24h vol $1 · Ends Dec 31, 2035
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
No: 63%
24h vol $0.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2033
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030: 16%
24h vol $0.1 · Ends Dec 31, 2035
Hurricane Nolo category?
Category 1 or above: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 2, 2026
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2050
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
No: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2050
EV market share in 2030?
Above 10%: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2030
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
No: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 440: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
Yes: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
EU has a new member before 2030?
Yes: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
No: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2028
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 4, 2027
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Before 2029: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 29, 2026: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 13, 2026
When will Snowbird open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 6, 2026: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 26, 2026
When will Snowbasin open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 29, 2026: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 26, 2026
When will Killington open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 29, 2026: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 5, 2026
When will Jackson Hole open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Nov 29, 2026: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 26, 2026
When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 13, 2026: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 20, 2026
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?
Above 4 inches: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Milwaukee in Dec 2026?
Above 20 inches: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027