Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory
Hamawy, 19+ pts: 95%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 89%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 8th District margin of victory
Jeffries, 42+ pts: 95%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
Yes: 67%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 18, 2026
Texas's 10th District margin of victory
Gober, 3+ pts: 80%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Idaho Governor margin of victory
Little, 15+ pts: 88%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Virginia's 4th District margin of victory
McClellan, 12+ pts: 97%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Hamilton mayoral election winner?
Keanin Loomis: 56%
24h vol $20 · Ends Oct 26, 2027
Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory
Moolenaar, 15+ pts: 85%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
No: 79%
24h vol $20 · Ends Jul 1, 2028
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
Castor, 2+ pts: 53%
24h vol $19.1 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
Ballot Measure 3: 87%
24h vol $17.2 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
New Jersey's 6th District margin of victory
Pallone, 10+ pts: 96%
24h vol $17 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Jersey's 10th District margin of victory
McIver, 45+ pts: 98%
24h vol $17 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
Cognetti, 2+ pts: 61%
24h vol $17 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Harvie, 1+ pts: 39%
24h vol $17 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
Christopher Luxon: 60%
24h vol $16.6 · Ends Nov 7, 2027
New Jersey's 11th District margin of victory
Mejia, 8+ pts: 97%
24h vol $16.2 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana's 8th District margin of victory
Messmer, 17+ pts: 90%
24h vol $16 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississauga mayoral election winner?
Bonnie Crombie: 47%
24h vol $16 · Ends Oct 26, 2027
New Mexico Governor margin of victory
Haaland, 4+ pts: 92%
24h vol $16 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 470K: 95%
24h vol $16 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 19th District margin of victory
Riley, 6+ pts: 90%
24h vol $15.9 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
James, 1+ pts: 72%
24h vol $15.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio's 11th District margin of victory
Brown, 47+ pts: 95%
24h vol $15 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
At least 66%: 90%
24h vol $15 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon Governor margin of victory
Kotek, 2+ pts: 72%
24h vol $14.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Vermont margin of victory
Balint, 26+ pts: 96%
24h vol $14.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before Jan 2027: 63%
24h vol $14.3 · Ends Jan 2, 2027
Ohio 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 94%
24h vol $14.2 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?
Axel Kicillof: 59%
24h vol $14 · Ends Aug 7, 2028
Indiana's 3rd District margin of victory
Stutzman, 8+ pts: 94%
24h vol $14 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $14 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Colorado's 1st District margin of victory
Kiros, 48+ pts: 89%
24h vol $14 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
When will CISA announce the addition of CVE-2026-109618 to the KEV catalog?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 85%
24h vol $14 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 46%: 96%
24h vol $13.3 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
LePage, 1+ pts: 50%
24h vol $12 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Fitzpatrick, 2+ pts: 45%
24h vol $12 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Michigan vote to ban utility and contractor campaign contributions?
Yes: 59%
24h vol $12 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas's 28th District margin of victory
Cuellar, 5+ pts: 80%
24h vol $11.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
No: 90%
24h vol $11.3 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Montana governor winner? (2028)
Republican: 88%
24h vol $11.3 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
Republican: 90%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts: 16%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Iowa's 4th District margin of victory
McGowan, 6+ pts: 96%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
Rivet, 5+ pts: 93%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Wittman, 1+ pts: 34%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 11th District margin of victory
Malliotakis, 6+ pts: 77%
24h vol $11 · Ends Nov 3, 2027